Consponsor2: Poisson Regession with Overdispersion This model is Poisson regression of cosponsorships in all women's rights legislation from the the 82nd to 102nd House of Representatives with a Normal random effect to allow for overdispersion. The covariates in the model are the member's D-NOMINATE first dimension score (a measure of conservatism), the party of the member (coded one for Democrats and zero for Republicans), and the member's gender (coded one for women and zero for men). The data are discussed by Wolbrecht (2000). model cosponsor2; { for (i in 1:N) { log(mu[i]) <- (beta[1] * cons[i] + beta[2] * dnom[i] + beta[3] * party[i] + beta[4] * gender[i] + lambda[i]) ; cospon[i] ~ dpois(mu[i]); lambda[i] ~ dnorm(0.0, tau); } # Priors for(j in 1:K) { beta[j] ~ dnorm(0.0, 0.0001); } tau ~ dgamma(0.001, 0.001); sigma2 <- 1/tau; # Posterior Predictive Distributions pred[1] <- exp(beta[1] + -0.627 * beta[2] + 0 * beta[3] + 1 * beta[4]); # libRW pred[2] <- exp(beta[1] + -0.027 * beta[2] + 0 * beta[3] + 1 * beta[4]); # modRW pred[3] <- exp(beta[1] + 0.573 * beta[2] + 0 * beta[3] + 1 * beta[4]); # conRW pred[4] <- exp(beta[1] + -0.627 * beta[2] + 1 * beta[3] + 1 * beta[4]); # libDW pred[5] <- exp(beta[1] + -0.027 * beta[2] + 1 * beta[3] + 1 * beta[4]); # modDW pred[6] <- exp(beta[1] + 0.573 * beta[2] + 1 * beta[3] + 1 * beta[4]); # conDW pred[7] <- exp(beta[1] + -0.627 * beta[2] + 0 * beta[3] + 0 * beta[4]); # libRM pred[8] <- exp(beta[1] + -0.027 * beta[2] + 0 * beta[3] + 0 * beta[4]); # modRM pred[9] <- exp(beta[1] + 0.573 * beta[2] + 0 * beta[3] + 0 * beta[4]); # conRM pred[10] <- exp(beta[1] + -0.627 * beta[2] + 1 * beta[3] + 0 * beta[4]); # libDM pred[11] <- exp(beta[1] + -0.027 * beta[2] + 1 * beta[3] + 0 * beta[4]); # modDM pred[12] <- exp(beta[1] + 0.573 * beta[2] + 1 * beta[3] + 0 * beta[4]); # conDM }